Financial liberalization and the efficiency of financial markets By applying this to the stock market in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
Keywords:
Financial Liberalization, Financial Market Efficiency, Stock Market, Saudi Arabia.Abstract
The research aimed to measure the impact of financial liberalization on the
efficiency of the Saudi stock market during the period 2010- 2026 The
research tested the hypothesis of the relationship between the efficiency of
stock markets and financial openness, through the hypothesis of the
relationship between the Saudi stock market index and stock returns, and the
extent of the randomness of these returns before and after liberalization. The
study relied on the daily historical data of the Tadawul stock market index.
The period from TASIF rom January 7, 2012, to July 7, 2014, totaling 2013,
dummy variables were created to represent the periods and phases of market
liberalization as follows: the first period from 2012 until mid-2013, prior to
the entry of foreign investors; the second period from the start of liberalization
in June 2013, when the Qualified Foreign Investor (QFI) program was
implemented. For the first time, the third period of global integration QFI
2006-2007: The formal inclusion of Saudi Arabia in emerging market indices,
fourth period: full liberalization in February 2004, opening the market
directly to all foreign and individual investors. Multiple statistical tests and
models were used, including descriptive tests of market data and then
quantitative tests of the index returns for the Saudi market using the [test name
missing].The KPSS test is used to test marketer changes, as well as the Wald
test and the Chow test. Saudi Stock Exchange Index returns remain stable.
Variance Ratio (VR) (in addition to the TASI test) To test the random walk
hypothesis of returns on the Saudi stock market index (To measure the impact
of financial liberalization phases on average returns and their fluctuations, the
GARCH model and the TASI (1,1) model will be used. model) To measure
the impact of financial liberalization and the asymmetry of fluctuations in the
Saudi financial market, (EGARCH)1,1 The most important results of the
study indicate that financial liberalization in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
has contributed to enhancing the efficiency of the financial market gradually
without leading to its instability in the later stages, and without achieving
complete random progress. Financial liberalization has also gradually and
cumulatively improved the institutional maturity of the market, and has not
reached the level of completely eliminating all manifestations of inefficiency.
This is consistent with the literature that considers market efficiency to be a
dynamic process that develops with the deepening of financial reforms and
the increase in the maturity of institutions and pricing mechanisms.
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